Jammu and Kashmir is heading toward a critical energy crossroads. Despite operating on infrastructure that is decades old, the region is projected to witness an alarming surge in electricity demand—nearly 50 percent growth within the next 10 years.
Official documents indicate that by 2034–35, the Union Territory is expected to require 49.42 percent more power than it consumes today. This steep increase highlights the urgent need for infrastructure upgrades, strategic energy planning, and accelerated renewable integration.
Annual Power Demand Rising Steadily
Authorities have outlined a year-wise growth trend that paints a clear picture of rising consumption pressures. Beginning 2025–26, J&K is estimated to record:
- 5% rise in 2025–26
- 4% rise in 2026–27
- 4% rise in 2027–28
- 3% rise in 2028–29
- 5% rise in 2029–30
- 4% rise in 2030–31
- 4% rise in 2031–32
- 3% rise in 2032–33
- 5% rise in 2033–34
- 4% rise in 2034–35
Officials said the peak demand will grow even faster than the average yearly increase, estimating a consistent 6 percent surge every year from 2025 to 2035.
Demand Projections Exceed National Estimates
Documents reviewed reveal that both J&K and Ladakh’s peak and energy demand projections were submitted by the UT administration. These projections are significantly higher than those predicted by India’s 20th Electric Power Survey, prompting authorities to base future studies on UT-provided figures instead.
To anticipate the 2034–35 scenario, planners used the 2022–23 demand profile as a baseline. Solar generation data and capacity utilization factors were taken directly from J&K’s records to ensure realistic modelling.
Capacity Expansion Plans Underway
As per official data, the UT plans to add substantial generation capacity by 2030, including:
- 392 MW coal capacity under the Shakti Scheme
- 620 MW new solar power
- 1206 MW hydroelectric capacity
These additions reflect a push to balance traditional and renewable sources as demand accelerates.
A Decade That Will Define J&K’s Energy Future
The projected surge underscores one urgent truth: Jammu and Kashmir cannot afford to delay modernizing its ageing power infrastructure. As the region moves toward a higher-consumption future, the next few years will determine whether it enters the next decade empowered—or overwhelmed.
